Colorado Springs Real Estate Blog

Mike Erhardt

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2009 troop numbers for FT. Carson

This info is from Hutch Hutchinson, president of Adams Bank as shared with me via Kelly King, one of my fav lenders with Adams. There has been a lot of incorrect info out there as far as troop numbers and the whole move with 4th ID. Probably the biggest mistake I see is confusing 2009 numbers with the overall projected numbers 3-5 years from now when the move is complete .

So without further delay here is Hutche's feedback from last month.

I attended the Mortgage Lenders luncheon last month here in Colorado Springs and a Lt. Colonel Bolton shared with us what we have coming at us this year for growth down at Fort Carson.

 

2008 finished the year with 18,100 Military personnel based at Fort Carson with 27,500 family members for a combined total of 45,600 people.

 

2009 their will be 6,500 soldiers added to Fort Carson.  And there will be an additional 9,900 family members.  They are required to meet the objective of 70% completed by June 16th 2009.  This will be a grand total of 62,000 people here due to our military base.

 

It is the 4th Infantry Division coming up from Fort Hood Texas.  And we are also getting an Attack Aviation Reconnaissance Battalion as well.

 

We hopefully will feel an immediate impact to purchase business as the housing that they have been building on the base does not come close to handling this volume.  I don’t remember the specific percentage, but it was not impactful.

So there you have it. In addition I have a volunteer realtor shift comming up at the FT. Carson housing office in a couple of weeks and I will be checking in with those folks as always during my 1/2 day shift.

As always I welcome your questions and comments. take care.

MIke

Feb 2009 market numbers are in

Hello and thanks for stopping by my blog.

Time to take a look back at the market stats for the month of February. 

 

New listings: 1223 resale homes came on the market last month. This is a 2% increase from Jan 09, but a 19.6% drop from Feb 2008. This is a significant drop from this time last year. If rates stay low and buyers continue to be active we will see the kind of decreases in inventory needed to get back to a balanced market!

 

Total active resale listings: We closed out Feb at 4418 listing. This is a 2.1% increase over Jan but an 8.8% decrease from Feb of 08. Once again this reflects a decrease in overall inventory levels needed to get back to balanced.

 

Sales: We sold 465 homes in the resale market for the month. This is an increase of 22.4% over a very lackluster sales number for Jan. It does represent a decrease of  6.6% for the same sales number for Feb 08.

 

 

So what does all this mean. Sales are at a slower pace from this time last year, however inventory is dropping at a faster rate. This is due to the huge drop in new listings coming into the market. Low interest rates, new soldiers coming to FT. Carson and the first time buyer credit should all help our market this year. How much is the million dollar question.

 

As always I welcome your questions and comments.

Till next time.

2009 tax credit in more detail

Thanks in advance to Karen Monroe, a great lender over at Colorado Capitol for more breakdown on the tax credit for home buyers in this market. Karne can be reached at-

www.applywithkaren.com

www.coloradocapitalbank.com

Tax Credit for Homebuyers
First-time homebuyers who purchase homes from the start of the year
until the end of November 2009 may be eligible for the lower of an
$8,000 or 10% of the value of the home tax credit. Remember a tax credit
is very different than a tax deduction - a tax credit is equivalent to
money in your hand, as opposed to a tax deduction which only reduces
your taxable income.

The tax credit starts phasing out for couples with incomes above
$150,000 and single filers with incomes above $75,000. Buyers will have
to repay the credit if they sell their homes within three years.

Tax Credit Versus Tax Deduction

It's important to remember that the $8,000 tax credit is just that... a
tax credit. The benefit of a tax credit is that it's a dollar-for-dollar
tax reduction, rather than a reduction in a tax liability that would
only save you $1,000 to $1,500 when all was said and done. So, if a
homebuyer were to owe $8,000 in income taxes and would qualify for the
$8,000 tax credit, they would owe nothing.

Better still, the tax credit is refundable, which means the homebuyer
can receive a check for the credit if he or she has little income tax
liability. For example, if a homebuyer is liable for $4,000 in income
tax, he can offset that $4,000 with half of the tax credit... and still
receive a check for the remaining $4,000!

Phaseout Examples

According to the plan, the tax credit starts phasing out for couples
with incomes above $150,000 and single filers with incomes above
$75,000.

To break down what this phaseout means to homebuyers who are over those
amounts, the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) offers the
following examples:

Example 1: Assume that a married couple has a modified adjusted gross
income of $160,000. The applicable phaseout to qualify for the tax
credit is $150,000, and the couple is $10,000 over this amount. Dividing
$10,000 by $20,000 yields 0.5. When you subtract 0.5 from 1.0, the
result is 0.5. To determine the amount of the partial first-time
homebuyer tax credit that is available to this couple, multiply $8,000
by 0.5. The result is $4,000.

Example 2: Assume that an individual homebuyer has a modified adjusted
gross income of $88,000. The buyer's income exceeds $75,000 by $13,000.
Dividing $13,000 by $20,000 yields 0.65. When you subtract 0.65 from
1.0, the result is 0.35. Multiplying $8,000 by 0.35 shows that the buyer
is eligible for a partial tax credit of $2,800.

Remember, these are general examples. You should always consult your tax
advisor for information relating to your specific circumstances.

Homes that Qualify

The tax credit is applicable to any home that will be used as a
principle residence. Based on that guideline, qualifying homes include
single-family detached homes, as well as attached homes such as
townhouses and condominiums. In addition, manufactured or homes and
houseboats used for principle residence also qualify.


Higher Loan Amounts

More good news - there is an extension on the additional tier of
conforming loan amounts which had been first established in 2008.  This
tier of home loans are those greater than $417,000, and with a maximum
that depends on the area, but is not greater than $729,750.  These loans
will again be eligible for rates that are slightly higher than
conforming loan rates, but less expensive than the standard "jumbo" loan
rates.

Additional Housing-Related Provisions

Tax Incentives to Spur Energy Savings and Green Jobs - This provision is
designed to help promote energy-efficient investments in homes by
extending and expanding tax credits through 2010 for purchases such as
new furnaces, energy-efficient windows and doors, or insulation.

Landmark Energy Savings - This provision provides $5 Billion for energy
efficient improvements for more than one million modest-income homes
through weatherization. According to some estimates, this can help
modest-income families save an average of $350 a year on heating and air
conditioning bills.

Repairing Public Housing and Making Key Energy Efficiency Retrofits To
HUD-Assisted Housing-This provision provides a total of $6.3 Billion for
increasing energy efficiency in federally supported housing
programs.Specifically, it establishes a new program to upgrade
HUD-sponsored low-income housing (for elderly, disabled, and Section 8)
to increase energy efficiency, including new insulation, windows, and
frames.

Expanding Housing Assistance-This provision increases support for
several critical housing programs. It includes $2 Billion for the
Neighborhood Stabilization Program to help communities purchase and
rehabilitate foreclosed, vacant properties.

More Help for Homeowners in the Future
Another thing to keep an eye on in the coming weeks is President Obama's
plan to help struggling borrowers before they are faced with a default
on their mortgage.

According to reports, the Obama administration is discussing plans to
help borrowers who are struggling to stay afloat, but who have not yet
fallen behind on their payments. At this point, details are scarce;
however, reports indicate that President Obama is looking to spend
approximately $50 Billion to directly help homeowners before they face
foreclosure and financial disaster.

While this is good news for individual homeowners, it will likely be
good for the housing industry as a whole. That's because, assisting
struggling borrowers before they default should help stop the wave of
foreclosures, which are estimated to top two million this year. That, in
turn, will help stabilize home prices.

Tax credit for first time buyers 2009

·  Homebuyers: First-time homebuyers who purchase this calendar year get an $8,000 tax credit which does not have to be repaid like a similar measure last year. This phases out for people making more than $75,000 individually or $150,000 jointly. "First-time homebuyer" is defined as someone who has not owned a home for the past three years. 
 

The January 2009 market numbers are in!!

Welcome back to another market update. The January 2009 numbers are in. We continue to see soft numbers as consumer confidence wanes in the wake of job reports and reporting by the national media. Here is a breakdown of the resale numbers.
 
New listings: 1199 for Jan 2009 vs. 1385 for Jan 2008 this is a drop of 13.4% This is a good thing. As supply drops and prices drop we will hit the bottom of this market.
 
Sales: 380 for Jan 2009 vs. 465 for Jan 2008. This is a 18.3% drop in sales. This is a direct result of lack of consumer confidence. In the wake of layoffs and declining prices it is hard for buyers to get off the fence and make a buying decision.
 
Total active listings: 4327 for Jan 2009 vs. 4706 for Jan 2008. This is a 8.1% drop in inventory. This goes back to any drop in inventory plays into supply and demand and as inventory levels drop we will get back to a more balanced market. We could see a spike in inventory in the Fountain area as we will see an influx of troops coming to Ft. Carson this year, and there is pent up demand with builders and expired listings from the past couple of years waiting for these buyers.
 

If you are a buyers reading this keep this in mind. A 1% rise in interest rates will wipe out a 10% decrease in price. Interest rates are at historic lows and as rates stay this low it creates inflationary pressure on the economy. Interest rates at some point will have to ease back the other way to keep inflation in check. Rates will not stay this low all year! Bottom line-this is still a great time to buy!

Market projections 2009

Markets at a glance 2009
 
 
 
Welcome back and hope all is well in you world. Here is a take on this years market going forward as provided by housingpredictor.com. We will continue to see both short sales and foreclosure play a large roll in this market. At present 25-30% of closings in El Paso County are short sales or foreclosures. We do have a few wild cards in the mix this year:
1.      A new President with a new stimulus plan.
2.      Very low interest rates.
3.      An influx of troops coming to FT. Carson this year.
 
 
With this in mind here are the projected state wide numbers for how much decline we could see in 2009.
 
            City                              Forecast
            Denver                         (12.8%)
            Aurora                          (11/9%)
            Boulder                        (5.7%)
            Grand Junction           3.1%
            Colorado Springs       (7.4%)
            Fort Collins                  (7.1%)
 
Grand Junction is the one major Colorado market expected to rise due to the boom in natural gas production.
What I would take away from this is if you are a seller in my market, Colorado Springs, I would get in the market now to avoid the long slow pull downward on prices that will be this market. I would also jump in to avoid the seller rush this spring. Sellers like to wait till spring to take advantage of the “selling season”. This is a mistake and here’s why. The percentage increase of spring sellers coming into the market is always higher than the percentage increase in buyer traffic. Mr. and Mrs. Seller will have more buyers but will be competing against far more listings.
 
As always I welcome your questions and comments.
Have a great week,
 
Mike Erhardt

smoke detectors and fire

Hello and welcome back,
We have had a spate of home fires this past four weeks in Colorado Springs. In response, the American Red Cross is canvassing neighborhoods to help folks check their smoke detectors and identify homes that don’t have them. A fire doubles for every minute that it burns so early detection is a must. Here are some tips to help you test your smoke detectors.
 
  1. Test monthly and replace batteries yearly: lots of folks use the week of daylight savings time as their trigger to replace the batteries.
  2. To Test: press the test button on your unit. It should emit a beep or tone.
  3. How not to test: do not use a candle or something that emits smoke. Repeated use of smoke to test will “wear out” the sensor and it could fail to detect in the case of a real fire.
 
Hope this helps. As always I welcome any thoughts or comments. Have a great week.
Take care,
Mike Erhardt

Great interest rates!!!

Welcome back to another installment of my 2009 real estate blog. Did you know interest rates are at their lowest point in almost 50 years-yes thats right a half a century. This recent move by the Fed will help the housing market on several fronts. first, we are in a bit of a refi boom right now as folks get into lower rates on their homes. This will help stem the number of foreclosures. Stopping foreclosures will help prop up home prices from moving lower. Stopping home prices from moving lower will in turn create buyer confidence and bring more buyers into the market.

That is a whole bunch of cause and effect that should positively effect the housing market. In my opinion it will probably take more than just lower rates to shore up the foreclosure numbers, but we will have to wait and see  what our new President and Capitol Hill do with the economy.

AS always I welcome you questions and comments. Till next time.

Mike Erhardt   

2008 Market Final

Hello all. Hope you had a great holiday season! Well, I think its time to put the 2008 market to bed. The final numbers are posted. So here we go. New Listings came in at 792. A decrease of 7.4% from Dec 07. Sales were at 461 down 8.9% from last Dec but up 3.6% from November 08. Total listings were 4332 down 6.8% from Dec 08.
So, what does all this mean. How bout some bad news good news.
 
 First the bad news. Prices are still in decline and there are still a lot of foreclosures and short sales coming into the market place. This places downward pressure on pricing in the overall market.
 
Now the good news. As both prices and inventories drop we will at some point hit a level where pent up buyer demand will kick in and this market will swing back(they always do) towards the seller. Interest rates are very low. This should continue to maintain buyer demand even as we work out of the current recession. 2009 should bring us our first major influx of troops to Ft. Carson. Much of this will be absorbed by on post housing, new construction, current listings and expired listings from the past few years going back into the market. Still this will be a nice kick in the pants to a slow market.
 
So, notice how my good paragraph is bigger than my bad paragraph.  I can be just an insufferable optimist at times. What can I say (LOL). Time to see what the new year brings, so here we go!
 
Till next time,
 
Mike Erhardt

Welcome to 2009

Well hello out there. I am here to fulfill one of my resolutions for the new year. I have to apologize for doing a bit of drift as far as doing posts and my market updates. As of next week I will be back on board with a Dec 08 update and I will do a 4th quarter in review to bring us up to speed. I will also be posting on the financial and tax implications on buying investment properties as a companion piece to my investment series from last year.

Anything you would like me to cover or know about just let me know.

I had a very strong close to the year and am looking forward to 2009. As the Chinese say "may you live in interesting times". And we do. I will stay abreast of the Fed, and Fannie and Freddie as we go forward with a new president and the current economy.

Thats all for now. Hope you had a great holiday season and here we go with a new year.

Take care,

Mike 

Displaying blog entries 21-30 of 82